I was browsing through Nate Silvers stuff on the 2012 Republic Nomination and noticed the question: Estimate the schedule of the certainty vs the date. In short “When can we expect it to be clear who will win the Republican Nomination?”
After some googling and picking around on Wikipedia I noticed I wasn’t finding a good answer, and I couldn’t even find a CSV of the calender schedule for delegates being voted vs date.
I’m sure it’s out there but until google does it’s job perfectly there’s only so much I can do.
Hence, I’ve compiled another one. It might have errors. It’s based on the data from wikipedia:
Republican_Party_presidential_primaries,2012
Here’s a link: 2012 Republican Primary Schedule/Calendar . CSV
According to Wikipedia there are 3 types of delegates:
“There are 3 kinds of delegates: Parti- or Superdelegates (RNC), Delegates elected in congressional districts (CD) and Delegates elected statewide (AL)”
Taken from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Republican_Party_presidential_primaries, _2012
Date , State/Territory , Type , RNC , CD , AL
1/3/2012 , Iowa , nonbinding caucus , 3 , 12 , 13
1/10/2012 , New Hampshire , semi-closed prmry , 0 , 0 , 12
1/21/2012 , South Carolina , open prmry , 0 , 14 , 11
1/31/2012 , Florida , closed prmry , 0 , 0 , 50
2/4-11/2012 , Maine , nonbinding caucus , 3 , 6 , 15
2/4/2012 , Nevada , binding caucus , 3 , 12 , 13
2/7/2012 , Minnesota , caucus , 3 , 24 , 13
2/7/2012 , Colorado , nonbinding caucus , 3 , 21 , 12
2/25/2012 , Northern Mariana Islands , nonbinding caucus , 3 , 0 , 6
2/28/2012 , Arizona , semi-closed prmry 29 , , ,
2/28/2012 , Michigan , open prmry 30 , , ,
3/3/2012 , Washington , binding caucus , 3 , 30 , 10
3/6-10/2012 , Wyoming , nonbinding caucus , 3 , 3 , 23
3/6/2012 , (Spr Tues) Massachusetts , semi-closed prmry , 3 , 27 , 11
3/6/2012 , (Spr Tues) Idaho , binding caucus , 3 , 6 , 23
3/6/2012 , (Spr Tues) North Dakota , nonbinding caucus , 3 , 3 , 22
3/6/2012 , (Spr Tues) Virginia , open prmry , 3 , 33 , 13
3/6/2012 , (Spr Tues) Tennessee , open prmry , 3 , 27 , 28
3/6/2012 , (Spr Tues) Alaska , binding caucus , 3 , 3 , 21
3/6/2012 , (Spr Tues) Georgia , open prmry , 3 , 42 , 31
3/6/2012 , (Spr Tues) Oklahoma , closed prmry , 3 , 15 , 25
3/6/2012 , (Spr Tues) Ohio , open prmry , 3 , 48 , 15
3/6/2012 , (Spr Tues) Vermont , open prmry , 3 , 3 , 11
3/10/2012 , Guam , nonbinding caucus , 3 , 0 , 6
3/10/2012 , U.S. , Virgin Islands caucus , 3 , 0 , 6
3/10/2012 , Kansas , binding caucus , 3 , 12 , 25
3/13/2012 , Alaabama , semi-closed prmry , 3 , 21 , 26
3/13/2012 , Mississippi , open prmry , 3 , 12 , 25
3/13/2012 , American , Samoa caucus , 3 , 0 , 6
3/13/2012 , Hawaii , binding caucus , 3 , 6 , 11
3/17/2012 , Missouri , binding caucus , 3 , 24 , 25
3/18/2012 , Puerto , Rico binding caucus , 3 , 0 , 20
3/20/2012 , Illinois , open prmry , 3 , 54 , 12
3/24/2012 , Louisiana , open prmry , 3 , 18 , 25
4/3/2012 , Wisconsin , open prmry , 3 , 24 , 15
4/3/2012 , Maryland , closed prmry , 3 , 24 , 10
4/3/2012 , Washington D.C. , closed prmry , 3 , 0 , 16
4/3/2012 , Texas , open prmry , 3 , 108 , 44
4/24/2012 , Connecticut , closed prmry , 3 , 15 , 10
4/24/2012 , Delaware , closed prmry , 3 , 3 , 11
4/24/2012 , Pennsylvania , closed prmry , 3 , 54 , 15
4/24/2012 , Rhode , Island semi-closed prmry , 3 , 6 , 10
4/24/2012 , New , York closed prmry , 3 , 81 , 11
5/8/2012 , North , Carolina semi-closed prmry , 3 , 39 , 13
5/8/2012 , Indiana , open prmry , 3 , 27 , 16
5/8/2012 , West , Virginia semi-closed prmry , 3 , 9 , 19
5/15/2012 , Oregon , closed prmry , 3 , 15 , 10
5/15/2012 , Nebraska , semi-closed prmry , 3 , 9 , 23
5/22/2012 , Kentucky , closed prmry , 3 , 18 , 24
5/22/2012 , Arkansas , open prmry , 3 , 12 , 21
6/5/2012 , California , semi-closed prmry , 3 , 159 , 10
6/5/2012 , New Jersey , closed prmry , 3 , 36 , 11
6/5/2012 , South Dakota , closed prmry , 3 , 3 , 22
6/5/2012 , Montana , semi-closed prmry , 3 , 3 , 20
6/5/2012 , New Mexico , closed prmry , 3 , 9 , 11
6/26/2012 , Utah , closed prmry , 3 , 12 , 25